Category » Early Warning Reference period » 2013 Posted on 01:16:28 PM, Tuesday, March 18th, 2014
Food Security Conditions
While there is an increasing trend in Food Security Index from 2010 to 2012, a decline in 2013 may cause a slowdown, but not necessarily a cause for alarm;
Food Security Index may decline further in 2014 but is expected to recover in 2015 to 2016. Subsequently, better food security condition during 2015-2016 is expected due to the improvement in accessibility of carbohydrate-based food.
Availability of major food items largely contributes in the movement of food security condition.
There was already a threat in the availability of major food items in 2013, thus, Food Security Index is foreseen to exhibit risk in 2014.
The threat scenario may be influenced by sharp decline in rice stocks in 2012-2013.
Food Availability vs. Food Utilization
The trend of availability of major food items from 2010 to 2013 moved in opposite direction with food utilization.
Probable slight increases in food utilization from 2013 to 2016.
The decreasing behavior of availability of major food items in 2014 may continue until 2016.
Fluctuations were observed in the behavior of accessibility of carbohydrate-based food in 2011 to 2013. However, in the next three years, it may post an upward trend towards the upper bound.
Protein-based food was highly accessible in 2010 to 2012 but went down in 2013.
The trend of accessibility of protein-based food from 2014 to 2016 may move within the bound.